Download An Economic Analysis of Conflicts: With an Application to by Nicos Christodoulakis PDF

By Nicos Christodoulakis

This e-book presents a quantitative framework for the research of clash dynamics and for estimating the commercial expenditures linked to civil wars. the writer develops changed Lotka-Volterra equations to version clash dynamics, to yield life like representations of conflict approaches, and to permit us to evaluate lengthy clash traps. the industrial bills of civil wars are evaluated with assistance from substitute equipment: to begin with, the writer employs a creation functionality to figure out how the destruction of human and actual capital shares undermines monetary development within the medium time period. Secondly, he develops a man-made regulate procedure, the place the associated fee is bought because the divergence of tangible monetary job from a hypothetical course within the absence of civil conflict. the variation among the 2 ways offers a sign of the hostile externalities impinging upon the economic system within the type of institutional destruction. by utilizing targeted time-series concerning conflict casualties, neighborhood socio-economic signs, and capital inventory destruction in the course of the Greek Civil struggle (1946-1949), a full-scale program of the above framework is gifted and discussed.

Show description

Read Online or Download An Economic Analysis of Conflicts: With an Application to the Greek Civil War 1946-1949 PDF

Similar econometrics books

Global and National Macroeconometric Modelling: A Long-Run Structural Approach

This publication presents a finished description of the cutting-edge in modelling international and nationwide economies. It introduces the long-run structural method of modelling that may be effectively followed to be used in figuring out how economies paintings, and in producing forecasts for choice- and policy-makers.

Statistical Size Distributions in Economics and Actuarial Sciences (Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics)

A accomplished account of financial dimension distributions world wide and in the course of the yearsIn the process the previous a hundred years, economists and utilized statisticians have constructed a remarkably diversified number of source of revenue distribution types, but no unmarried source convincingly money owed for all of those versions, studying their strengths and weaknesses, similarities and ameliorations.

Market Response Models: Econometric and Time Series Analysis

From 1976 to the start of the millennium—covering the quarter-century lifestyles span of this publication and its predecessor—something impressive has occurred to marketplace reaction learn: it has turn into perform. lecturers who train in specialist fields, like we do, dream of such issues. think the delight of understanding that your paintings has been included into the decision-making regimen of brand name managers, that class administration is determined by innovations you built, that advertising administration believes in whatever you struggled to set up of their minds.

Additional resources for An Economic Analysis of Conflicts: With an Application to the Greek Civil War 1946-1949

Sample text

It is clear that during the first half of 1946 casualties remained too low for the conflict to qualify as a civil war. It is only in the second half of 1946 that hostilities become widespread and organized conflict ensues. To face widespread persecution by right-wing militias, the Communist Party started to organize ‘self-defence’ groups throughout the country. ”10 Henceforth, it is assumed that the Civil War started in July 1946 and ended with the final offensive of GNA against the guerrillas in the last days of August 1949.

Their findings suggest that variables such as per capita income, the growth rate of the economy, and male secondary education enrollment, have statistically significant and substantial effects on influencing the opportunity of rebellion. Combined with military advantages and financial availability, opportunities may turn to actual design and implementation of fighting, though the authors keep a distance from suggesting one-way causation. 6 Criticism to the Collier-Hoeffler Model A number of limitations are inherent in the Collier-Hoeffler model and are discussed below.

11 By the end of 1947, the conflict intensified and acquired new operational and political dimensions. Fig. 1 Total battlecasualties and battle-deaths. Notes: (Upper graph, Rhs) and (marked graph, Lhs) respectively. Period 1946:01–1949:12. The beginning of Civil War is marked in July 1946 and its end in August 1949. The shaded area in 1948 marks a structural break into two phases. 1 Aug 49 Jul 46 20,000 15,000 10,000 4,000 5,000 3,000 0 2,000 1,000 0 1946 1947 1948 1949 10 The Third Decree of the State was issued in July 1946 and initially established 11 martial courts in key cities.

Download PDF sample

Rated 4.43 of 5 – based on 46 votes